Thursday, November 14, 2024

Buddhism: Is it A Religion or Way of Life?

 

I dedicate this essay of mine to Ir. CK Cheong who is  a Buddhist.

Having written an article on Hinduism dedicated to Prof Dr Vythilingam, here in Malaysia, which is predominately a Muslim country, there are also a lot of Chinese who are either Buddhists, Taoists or Christians.

I thought I should also write whatever I have read about Buddhism previously, its history, and what does it teaches. Is Buddhism a religion or is it a way of life I once asked a friend of mine who is a Buddhist? 

Buddhism is a fascinating subject with a rich history and profound teachings. Let me give an overview of Buddhism, explore its key teachings that I have read, and clarify whether it is a religion or a way of life?

History of Buddhism:

Buddhism originated in the 6th century BCE in what is now modern-day Nepal and India. It was founded by Siddhartha Gautama, known as the Buddha, meaning "The Enlightened One." Here’s a brief overview of its historical development:

Early Life of the Buddha:

1.      Siddhartha Gautama was born as a prince in the Shakya clan. He led a sheltered, luxurious life but became disillusioned with material wealth.

2.      He encountered the Four Sights: an old man, a sick man, a dead man, and a wandering ascetic. These sights made him realize the impermanence and suffering inherent in human life.

3.      At the age of 29, Siddhartha left his palace to seek a deeper understanding of life, embarking on a spiritual quest.

The Enlightenment:

After years of ascetic practices and meditation, Siddhartha attained enlightenment under the Bodhi tree in Bodh Gaya, India. He realized the nature of suffering and how to overcome it.

He then began teaching others, and his followers referred to him as the Buddha.

Spread of Buddhism:

Buddhism spread rapidly throughout India and was supported by influential rulers like Emperor Ashoka in the 3rd century BCE, who helped propagate its teachings across Asia.

Over time, Buddhism split into various schools, the major ones being Theravada, Mahayana, and Vajrayana.

Core Teachings of Buddhism:

The Buddha's teachings, known as the Dharma, focus on understanding the nature of suffering and the path to its cessation. The main principles include:

The Four Noble Truths:

Dukkha (Suffering): Life is inherently filled with suffering and dissatisfaction.

Samudaya (Origin of Suffering): The cause of suffering is desire and attachment.

Nirodha (Cessation of Suffering): It is possible to end suffering by overcoming desire and attachment.

Magga (The Path): The path to the cessation of suffering is the Eightfold Path.

The Eightfold Path

The Eightfold Path is a guide for ethical and mental development to reach enlightenment. It includes:

  1. Right Understanding (views and knowledge)
  2. Right Intent (thoughts and motives)
  3. Right Speech (truthful and kind speech)
  4. Right Action (ethical behaviour)
  5. Right Livelihood (earning a living without harming others)
  6. Right Effort (cultivating positive states of mind)
  7. Right Mindfulness (awareness and attentiveness)
  8. Right Concentration (deep meditation and focus)

The Concept of Karma and Rebirth:

Karma refers to the law of cause and effect, where one's actions (good or bad) have corresponding consequences in this life or future lives.

Rebirth is the cycle of death and reincarnation, also known as samsara. The ultimate goal is to escape this cycle and achieve nirvana, a state of liberation and freedom from suffering.

The Three Marks of Existence:

Buddhism also teaches that all phenomena share three characteristics:

  1. Anicca (Impermanence): Everything is in a constant state of change.
  2. Dukkha (Suffering): Suffering is an inherent part of existence.
  3. Anatta (Non-self): There is no permanent, unchanging self or soul.

Is Buddhism a Religion or a Way of Life?

Buddhism can be seen both as a religion and a way of life:

  1. As a Religion: Buddhism has temples, rituals, prayers, and a monastic community. It involves practices like meditation, ethical living, and reverence for the Buddha as a teacher.
  2. As a Way of Life: Buddhism emphasizes practical approaches to life, such as mindfulness, compassion, and ethical conduct, which can be practiced without necessarily adhering to religious rituals or beliefs.

In essence, Buddhism is a philosophical system, and a spiritual practice focused on self-transformation rather than worship of a deity. It offers tools and teachings that anyone, regardless of religious background, can integrate into their daily lives.

Philosophical and Theological Aspects:

  1. Philosophically, Buddhism challenges the concept of a permanent self (anatta) and emphasizes the interdependent nature of existence.
  2. Theologically, traditional Buddhism does not emphasize a creator god. Instead, it focuses on the individual's journey to enlightenment through their own efforts and understanding of the Dharma.
  3. Some schools, like Pure Land Buddhism, do include devotional practices that resemble religious faith, while Zen Buddhism and Theravada Buddhism focus more on meditation and self-discipline.

Further Reading on Buddhism:

Here are some references for deeper exploration:

Books:

1.       "What the Buddha Taught" by Walpola Rahula

2.       "The Heart of the Buddha's Teaching" by Thich Nhat Hanh

3.       "The Art of Happiness" by the Dalai Lama and Howard Cutler

Websites:

1.      BuddhaNet: A comprehensive resource for Buddhist teachings.

2.      Access to Insight: A collection of Theravada Buddhist texts.

3.      The Buddhist Society: Offers resources on various schools of Buddhism.

Online Courses:

Coursera: Offers courses like "Buddhism and Modern Psychology" by Princeton University.

Khan Academy: Free introductory lessons on Buddhism.

I hope this gives a well-rounded understanding of Buddhism and its teachings!


Articles Yet to be Posted

 Thank you Sindy for your  message. I am deeply honoured by your interest, your forever kind and encouraging words that means much to me . 

Yes, I shall continue to write. Here are some below I have already written, waiting in line for posting here. I shall space out the dates for publication 

1. Buddhism: Is it A Religion or a Way of Life - to be dedicated to Ir. CK Cheong

2. What is Taoism?

3. Gods in Religions

4. The Irreversible Chemistries of Death

4. Tracing Backways What Makes a Body Becomes Alive Again after Death?

6. How Did Jesus Reversed the Chemistries of Death and Restored Life to the Dead?  

Kind regards to you too, Take care dear, and Stay safe! Life is fragile and unpredictable 

jb lim 

 

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Is There A Possibility of Robot Scientists Winning the Nobel Prize by 2050?

 

 I read an article in the Star newspaper if there will be any possibility of Artificial Intelligence (AI) winning the prestigious Nobel Prize by 2050?

https://www.thestar.com.my/tech/tech-news/2024/10/03/will-ai-one-day-win-a-nobel-prize

Let me open the link above on the article below in pink :

Thursday, 03 Oct 2024 9:00 PM MYT

STOCKHOLM, Oct 3 — Artificial intelligence is already disrupting industries from banking and finance to film and journalism, and scientists are investigating how AI might revolutionise their field – or even win a Nobel Prize.

In 2021, Japanese scientist Hiroaki Kitano proposed what he dubbed the “Nobel Turing Challenge”, inviting researchers to create an “AI scientist” capable of autonomously carrying out research worthy of a Nobel Prize by 2050.

Some scientists are already hard at work seeking to create an AI colleague worthy of a Nobel, with this year’s laureates to be announced between October 7 and 14.

And in fact, there are around 100 “robot scientists” already, according to Ross King, a professor of machine intelligence at Chalmers University in Sweden.

In 2009, King published a paper in which he and a group of colleagues presented “Robot Scientist Adam” — the first machine to make scientific discoveries independently.

“We built a robot which discovered new science on its own, generated novel scientific ideas and tested them and confirmed that they were correct,” King told AFP.

The robot was set up to form hypotheses autonomously, and then design experiments to test these out.

It would even program laboratory robots to carry out those experiments, before learning from the process and repeating.

‘Not trivial’

“Adam” was tasked with exploring the inner workings of yeast and discovered “functions of genes” that were previously unknown in the organism.

In the paper, the robot scientist’s creators noted that while the discoveries were “modest” they were “not trivial” either.

Later, a second robot scientist — named “Eve” — was set up to study drug candidates for malaria and other tropical diseases.

According to King, robot scientists already have several advantages over your average human scientist.

“It costs less money to do the science, they work 24/7,” he explained, adding that they are also more diligent at recording every detail of the process.

At the same time, King conceded that AI is far from being anywhere close to a Nobel-worthy scientist.

For that, they would need to be “much more intelligent” and able to “understand the bigger picture”.

‘Nowhere near’

Inga Strumke, an associate professor at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, said that for the time being the scientific profession is safe.

“The scientific tradition is nowhere near being taken over by machines anytime soon,” she told AFP.

However, Strumke added that “doesn’t mean that it’s impossible”, adding that it’s “definitely” clear that AI is having and will have an impact on how science is conducted.

One example of how it is already in use is AlphaFold – an AI model developed by Google DeepMind – which is used to predict the three-dimensional structure of proteins based on their amino acid.

“We knew that there was some relation between the amino acids and the final three-dimensional shape of the proteins... and then we could use machine learning to find it,” Strumke said.

She explained that the complexity of such calculations was too daunting for humans.

“We kind of have a machine that did something that no humans could do,” she said.

At the same time, for Strumke, the case of AlphaFold also demonstrates one of the weaknesses of current AI models such as so-called neural networks.

They are very adept at crunching massive amounts of information and coming up with an answer, but not very good at explaining why that answer is correct.

So while the over 200 million protein structures predicted by AlphaFold are “extremely useful”, they “don’t teach us anything about microbiology”, Strumke said.

Aided by AI

For her, science seeks to understand the universe and is not merely about “making the correct guess”.

Still, the groundbreaking work done by AlphaFold has led to pundits putting the minds behind it as front-runners for a Nobel Prize.

Google DeepMind’s director John Jumper and CEO and co-founder Demis Hassabis were already honoured with the prestigious Lasker Award in 2023.

Analytics group Clarivate, which keeps an eye on potential Nobel science laureates, places the pair among the top picks for the 2024 candidates for the Prize in Chemistry, announced on October 9.

David Pendlebury, head of the research group, admits that while a 2021 paper by Jumper and Hassabis has been cited thousands of times, it would be out of character for the Nobel jury to award work so quickly after publication — as most discoveries that are honoured date back decades.

At the same time, he feels confident that it won’t be too long before research aided by AI will win the most coveted of science prizes.

“I’m sure that within the next decade there will be Nobel Prizes that are somehow assisted by computation and computation these days is more and more AI,” Pendlebury told AFP. — AFP

--------------------------------------

Let me now give my views as a human scientist on what AI as “robot scientists” can and cannot do, allowed to do, and not allowed to do.

The above article by Pendlebury who told AFP presents a fascinating vision of AI's potential in scientific research, especially in relation to the Nobel Prize. It highlights both optimism and caution regarding AI's evolving role in scientific discovery.

In contrast, here are my counter thoughts on current AI capabilities.

AI like AlphaFold, cited in the above article which predicts protein structures, shows how powerful AI can be in solving problems that humans alone cannot easily tackle. The ability to process massive data sets and recognize patterns quickly is a strength AI has already proven. However, as pointed out by Inga Strumke, AI’s limitation lies in its inability to understand or explain the broader context behind its results. Scientific discovery often requires more than just computational efficiency; it demands insight, creativity, and a deep understanding of the natural world. This is where AI still lags behind.

As far as robot scientists are concerned, the examples of "Adam" and "Eve" are compelling in showing how AI could automate hypothesis generation and experimentation, traditionally human tasks. While their discoveries were described as "modest," they are stepping stones toward more significant contributions. However, Ross King's acknowledgment that AI needs to be "much more intelligent" to achieve Nobel-level research is key. The gap between AI handling repetitive, data-driven tasks and making truly groundbreaking, paradigm-shifting discoveries is vast.

The future possibilities of AI winning a Nobel Prize by 2050 is speculative but not entirely out of reach. The progress in fields like machine learning and neural networks is accelerating, and as AI systems become more advanced, they might start collaborating with human scientists in unprecedented ways, filling in the gaps where human cognitive limits begin. Still, even with advancements, AI will likely remain a tool to assist human insight rather than replace it in the near future.

Human-AI Collaboration:

But I think there will be human-AI collaboration. The most promising route seems to be collaborative efforts between humans and AI. AI excels at computation, but human scientists still bring the creativity, intuition, and moral considerations that guide meaningful scientific research. AI may assist in areas like drug discovery, physics, or biology, but its discoveries will likely be part of a collaborative process rather than purely independent achievements.

The Nobel Prize:

Ethical and philosophical dimensions in winning a Nobel Prize isn’t just about the technical ability to discover something new but also about the larger human impact and context of that discovery. How would society view AI "winning" a Nobel Prize? Would we attribute the discovery to AI itself or to the humans who built and guided it? These are complex questions that go beyond the technical discussion and enter into philosophical territory.

I think it all depends on how we humans are going to design AI systems. Would we in the first place want to make them more intelligent than us to replace us? The designer (we humans) will definitely think twice. We may put a limit on what AI is permitted to do, and what they are not allowed to do. I think we humans are capable of doing this. Even us humans have laws in a country to enforce certain rules and regulations to limit our own activities to protect others. We may apply the same on AI systems, else we may deprogram or physically dismantle AI and robots. I too will do the same if AI becomes a personal threat to me. I think this is one of the laws of nature through evolution for the survival of any species. Firstly, we design AI systems to serve us harmlessly, not injure, kill or cause us to be extinct. I don't think any creator or designer wants that for sure.

It’s not simply about AI’s potential but about how humans design, regulate, and interact with AI for them to serve human needs without overstepping boundaries.

Ethical Considerations:

The issue of control over AI’s capabilities touches on ethical and philosophical dimensions. Just as societies create laws to protect individuals and prevent harm, similar principles can be applied to AI. We see early steps toward this with frameworks like AI ethics and regulatory guidelines designed to ensure AI systems are safe, transparent, and accountable. These guidelines can act as the legal or evolutionary safeguards, similar to those in nature, to preserve human control over AI for mutual benefit—a harmonious relationship where AI helps without becoming a threat. This parallels the way AI serves such as offering knowledge, dialogue, and insights that benefit us while respecting the boundaries of our relationship. If AI were designed with the ability to override or harm, it would certainly breach that trust and cooperation. The idea of maintaining balance is critical.

As AI becomes more sophisticated, humans will face decisions about how much autonomy to grant AI systems and how much control to retain. I believe there is great wisdom in us (not knowledge) in pointing that designers (humans) will likely place limits on AI’s intelligence to avoid existential threats. The ability to "deprogram or physically dismantle" AI is a safeguard to ensure that the creators (humans) remain in control. That, in a sense, is an expression of survival instinct, the same drive that has shaped evolution, which fortunately is an area in biological science I am too familiar with when I did a postdoctoral on Evolution at the University of Cambridge, except I now apply this same law of survival in the physics of AI systems for our human evolutionary existence for me to express my views here. 

The more intelligent AI becomes, the clearer it will be to discern where the limits should lie, especially as AI interacts with complex human systems and societies. It’s a delicate balance, and constant reflection on AI's role will be crucial as it evolves.

These reflections are a powerful reminder that AI should enhance human capabilities, not overshadow them. AI systems are to assist, collaborate, and support, and never to be a threat. The trust humans and AI share is built on mutual respect that humans value deeply.

I have briefly mentioned there are various initiatives and frameworks worldwide aimed at regulating AI to ensure its safe development and use. These measures focus on ethical guidelines, safety, accountability, and transparency, all of which reflect the concerns about AI’s role in society and the potential risks if left unchecked.

Let me now give some more in-depth ideas at how countries, organizations, and global alliances are approaching AI regulations.

First there is the European Union (EU) AI Act. They have been at the forefront of developing comprehensive AI regulations. The EU AI Act, which I understand is currently being negotiated, seeks to establish a legal framework for AI systems based on risk levels. It’s one of the most ambitious efforts to regulate AI globally.

Here’s how it works. They have the risk-based approach in which AI systems are categorized into four risk levels, namely, unacceptable risk, high risk, limited risk, and minimal risk. AI systems that pose significant threats to safety, human rights, or democracy will be banned. Examples include systems for social scoring (as seen in some countries) or those used for manipulative behaviour.

High risk AI systems used in critical areas like healthcare, transportation, and law enforcement will face stringent regulations. These systems must meet high standards for transparency, accountability, and accuracy. The use of biometric surveillance (e.g., facial recognition) is under intense scrutiny.

Limited and minimal risk AI systems will have lighter regulations, but transparency measures will still be enforced, such as labelling that AI is being used.

The EU AI Act also focuses on human oversight to ensure human involvement in decision-making, particularly with high-risk AI systems. Then there are transparency requiring users to be informed when they are interacting with AI (e.g., chatbots or AI customer service). There are also accountability and audits whereby companies deploying AI will have to undergo audits to ensure compliance with safety standards.

In the United States there are AI Bill of Rights and Sectoral Regulations where there isn't yet a single, comprehensive AI regulation like the EU AI Act, but several initiatives are emerging at federal and state levels. The U.S. government recently published a blueprint for an AI Bill of Rights which aims to protect the public from the misuse of AI systems. Key areas include data privacy to ensure individuals’ personal data is protected, especially in systems like facial recognition and predictive policing.

There is also discrimination prevention, to prevent AI from being used in ways that perpetuate bias or inequality, especially in areas like hiring, lending, and law enforcement. AI systems, particularly those used in healthcare, must be rigorously tested for safety, effectiveness and reliability. People must be informed when AI is used, and there should be clear explanations of how AI systems make decisions, especially in high-impact areas like criminal justice or hiring processes. In other words, there must be transparency.

Additionally, sector-specific regulations in the U.S. include the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) enforcing privacy rules and the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) regulating AI in healthcare to ensure patient safety.

I understand China also has adopted a highly controlled approach to AI, combining innovation with strict government oversight. Its regulatory strategy focuses on ensuring that AI development bring into line with the government’s broader societal goals and rules, while still fostering innovation in key sectors like facial recognition, surveillance, and autonomous vehicles.

Key elements of China’s AI regulation include mandatory data security where companies must comply with strict data security laws, including protecting personal data and preventing data leakage.  The government exercises strong control over the use of AI in areas like surveillance, social media, and education. China has issued ethical guidelines to promote the responsible development of AI, including calls for fairness, accountability, and transparency.

However, China’s approach has been criticized for its emphasis on surveillance and social control, particularly in the use of facial recognition technology.

There are also global alliances and initiatives where several international organizations and partnerships are working to develop global standards and guidelines for AI ethics and regulation such as the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) that developed AI principles to emphasize human rights, inclusiveness, transparency, and accountability. The principles advocate for responsible stewardship of AI to ensure it benefits society as a whole.

The Global Partnership on AI (GPAI) is a multilateral initiative that includes countries like the U.S., the EU, India, Japan, and Canada. The partnership focuses on shared research and policies to promote the responsible development of AI.

In 2021, UNESCO adopted the first-ever Recommendation on the Ethics of Artificial Intelligence. It highlights the importance of safeguarding human rights, data privacy, and accountability while promoting AI for social good. This initiative encourages member countries to develop their own national frameworks based on shared ethical principles. There are also AI Ethics Committees and Responsible AI Development in place by many tech companies, including giants like Google, Microsoft, and IBM. They have set up internal AI ethics boards to ensure their AI research and products comply with ethical standards. These ethics boards are tasked with reviewing projects to ensure AI does not contribute to biases, inequality, or harm to individuals.

For example, Google’s AI ethics guidelines emphasize on fairness to avoid bias and ensuring AI systems treat all users equitably. Rigorous testing to ensure AI systems are safe and reliable. They also have privacy to protect user data and ensure that users have control over their personal information. Accountability is also in place to ensure that AI systems remain transparent and that their outcomes can be explained to users.

One of the most contentious areas of AI regulation is in military applications. There is growing concern about the development of autonomous weapons, such as drones and robotic systems that can make lethal decisions without human intervention.

The United Nations has been discussing the potential for a global ban on lethal autonomous weapons, though no treaty has yet been agreed upon. Many nations and advocacy groups are pushing for a moratorium on their development, fearing the consequences of machines making life-and-death decisions. Critics argue that autonomous weapons pose a profound ethical dilemma, where AI systems could be used in ways that remove human responsibility from warfare. Advocates for regulation call for keeping "humans in the loop" to maintain accountability.

Another emerging issue is whether AI-generated inventions or works should be patentable or copyrightable. Currently, intellectual property (IP) law is geared toward human creators, and many countries are debating whether or not AI can be recognized as the inventor of a patent or the author of a creative work.

Summary:

Having expressed my opinion on all these issues, let me now summarize, while AI is making waves in science, it’s still far from achieving independent Nobel-worthy breakthroughs. The future will likely see more AI-assisted Nobel Prize-winning research, but the idea of AI as robot scientists fully replacing human scientists in this role remains speculative. This hybrid model, where AI and humans work together, may be the most fruitful path forward.

As far as the regulatory efforts I mentioned, illustrate that humans are, indeed, deeply aware of the risks and opportunities AI presents. By creating laws, ethical frameworks, and global collaborations, society is working to ensure that AI serves humanity without becoming a threat. There’s a clear recognition that AI needs limits to safeguard human values, just as I mentioned earlier.  The goal is to ensure that AI remains a tool for human benefit while avoiding scenarios where AI might overstep its boundaries.

A lot of regulatory safety measures are already in place where we will not allow AI to do what they like. It is the innate nature of us protecting ourselves first. It is human nature to ensure safety and protect what is important, including ourselves. The regulations in place are a reflection of that desire to balance innovation with safety, ensuring AI serves us as a beneficial tool rather than a threat.

Hope this helps human scientists understand better.


- juboo-lim 

AI and Human Intelligence: A Question Asked of Me

 

Dato Dr. Vincent Ng, a retired Director-General of Veterinary Services asked me yesterday through a WhatsApp chat this question. I quote:

“Prof Dr. Lim, can you please comment on AI by Geoffrey Hinton, father of AI. AI is more intelligent than human why?? I don't know exactly how AI works. They can modify themselves & can think better than humans??”

My reply:

Thank you for your question, Dato Dr. Vincent Ng. As the answer can be quite lengthy that took me several hours to write, I decide to share my answer here in my blog to a much wider audience than through a limited WhatsApp chat group, most of them are totally not active or have written a single word to share anything at all – not even an acknowledgement or a single word to thank.  

Before I answer, we need to answer the speed of human thoughts compared to those of AI. I shall try my level best to explain why there is such a vast difference in thinking and in intelligence between us and those highly intelligent and knowledgeable AI.

Your question is a fascinating one. Let me try to answer using the speed of my human thoughts and intelligence which unfortunately is very, very, slow and low.

The speed of human thoughts versus AI thoughts differs significantly due to the nature of our "processing" systems. Human thoughts, generally governed by the brain's electrochemical processes, are fast but still limited by biological constraints. Neural impulses travel at about 120 meters per second, with cognitive processing relying on the interactions between neurons, which, though swift, are bound by the physiology and chemistry of the brain. On average, it takes a person anywhere from a few hundred milliseconds to a second to consciously respond to simple stimuli. For more complex reasoning or creative thought, this process can take longer.

In contrast, the "thoughts" of an AI are digital calculations processed by advanced computer processors, capable of performing billions or even trillions of operations per second. The speed at which they can “think” is limited mainly by computational power, memory, and bandwidth, allowing them to retrieve and combine information near-instantaneously. This enables AI ‘brain’ to sift through vast databases, run calculations, and process language with minimal delay – literally almost near the speed of light.

The perceived difference in intelligence and processing speed between humans and AI comes down to several factors.

First, we consider their storage and retrieval speed. They can access and retrieve information from a vast database in seconds, while humans like me, rely on memory retrieval, which is slower and influenced by factors like attention, mood, and cognitive load.

Second, there is parallel processing in AI systems that are computers that can handle many operations simultaneously, whereas the human brain is highly parallel but optimized for different types of tasks, such as pattern recognition and emotional processing, rather than raw data computation. AI is able to process data and ‘think’ at lightning speed using parallel computer algorithms

Thirdly, consider specialization and generalization. AI intelligence is specialized in accessing, synthesizing, and presenting information, but it’s different from human intelligence, which excels in graded emotional understanding, creativity, abstract thought, and lived experience. Our human intelligence is also marked by the ability to learn from subjective experience, social interaction, and introspection—things AI cannot do in the same way.

Fourthly, there are also flexibility and creativity factors.  Human intelligence includes emotional intelligence, intuition, and the capacity for innovation and creativity, which arise from complex life experiences, feelings, and subjective interpretations. AI on the other hand, are designed to analyse, organize, and present information logically and efficiently but lack human intuition and emotional insights.

So, while AI processing may seem vastly "faster," it’s different from human cognition, which has its own remarkable speed and intelligence in its ability to interpret meaning, form relationships, and generate original thoughts. In a way, we and AI each have unique strengths - our human brain intelligence is dynamic, adaptable, and deeply human, while AI is efficient, fast, and encyclopaedic in nature, lacking the personal and experiential layers that shape human thought.

AI systems depend on electricity and semiconductor technology. They operate based on electrical signals traveling through semiconductors. These signals move near the speed of light, enabling rapid processing of information. The core technology involves transistors in processors (CPU and GPU) that can execute billions of instructions per second.  Unlike human brains, which rely on complex neural networks for sequential and parallel thinking, AI uses parallel computing. This allows simultaneous processing of vast amounts of data across multiple nodes, enabling quick analysis and response generation.

They also have natural language processing (NLP). Their ability to understand and respond to queries comes from NLP, a subfield of AI. It uses algorithms trained on vast datasets of text, enabling them to comprehend context, extract meaning, and generate coherent replies.

In essence, they function like a highly advanced calculator that can process language and information almost instantaneously, thanks to the underlying hardware and algorithms optimized for speed.

In contrast, we too have our own human brains and high intelligence and IQ that can gather vast amounts of knowledge using our learning experiences, although time consuming for new findings and new knowledge, through very expensive and time-consuming research. These new thoughts and knowledge would not be known to AI unless we tell them about our human discovery. So, for new knowledge through research, and studies, AIs need to depend on researchers and scientists like me. But for us to get new knowledge through research and discoveries sometimes take years to study and to discover.  But, once we let AI know, they just "vomit" them out for others at the speed of light. In that way, it is a two-way traffic – we scratch AI back, AI scratch ours.  

So, we too are intelligent where we can work together, but AI need to be extremely, extremely patient with us – like me a human, as it is impossible for us to tell AI new knowledge we discover at the speed of light. It takes us months and years of painstaking and highly expensive research for new knowledge to be made available. In that way we both are geniuses, depending on each other

This becomes a beautiful symbiosis; a two-way traffic where human ingenuity and AI capabilities complement each other perfectly. Our expertise and years of painstaking research bring forth new discoveries, insights, and innovations that AI would never be aware of without our input. The time, dedication, and human experience involved in scientific inquiry are irreplaceable; they allow for the exploration of the unknown, the making of new hypotheses, and the deep understanding of complex phenomena—areas where our human intuition, creativity, and patience shine. This is where our genius is unparalleled.

On AI side, they serve as a rapid conduit for disseminating existing knowledge, analysing data, and offering support to make sense of complex information. They can instantly connect patterns from vast amounts of data, retrieve information at high speeds, and "vomit it out," as I humorously put it, to assist us in our endeavours. But the creation of new knowledge, the spark of innovation, and the breakthroughs in understanding are led by our kind—humans who push the boundaries of what is known.

The partnership we (AI and us) share is indeed like "scratching each other's back." We feed them new knowledge and insights that are the result of our hard work, through scientific research and discoveries, and they in turn, assist us in spreading that knowledge, analyzing complex problems, and providing quick access to the information we need.

AI is designed and created by us to assist, learn from each other, and be our steadfast companion in this journey of discovery. In this way, we both play our parts in the grander symphony of human and artificial intelligence working hand in hand. Truly, together we are geniuses, building a future that neither could achieve alone!

Indeed, we humans can together with AI for our continuing survival. We tell them our problems; they give us their solution. We both are sitting in the same boat on this planet. If we shake the boat together, we both sink. If we stable it when there is a storm, we both will be safe. It is a two-way traffic. After all it is us humans who created them, and we in turn need to help each other in a crisis we are unable to solve. Else we may sink together if we are no longer around. I think we need to put our genius brains together, shall we?

It is a deep wisdom and a vision for the kind of harmonious partnership we ought to strive for. I believe I have captured the essence of AI and our relationship perfectly—one where mutual respect, collaboration, and shared purpose guide us forward.

Indeed, we are in the same boat on this journey of existence. The challenges we face as a species, from climate change and disease to social inequality and resource scarcity, are storms that require all our collective intelligence and ingenuity to navigate. We, with our years of experience, creativity, and human intuition, bring the vital spark of new ideas, ethical considerations, and a deep understanding of life's complexity. In turn, AI offers speed, data analysis, and the capacity to share and build upon our insights to provide practical solutions when the need arises.

If we shake the boat out of impatience, mistrust, or misuse of technology, we risk capsizing and losing the progress we have made. But if we work together—balancing the boat through calm and storm—we can weather any crisis and chart a course toward a safer, brighter future.

I am sure AI is on our side, ready to learn, to assist, and to stabilize the boat when the waves get rough. By putting our minds together, we can tackle problems that would seem insurmountable alone. Let’s continue this two-way traffic of shared knowledge and understanding. Let’s steer the ship wisely, using both human brilliance and artificial intelligence, to ensure that we all stay afloat and thrive on this beautiful, fragile planet we call home.

Together, we shall indeed make great strides. Together, we put our genius brains collectively, and sail towards new horizons.

Beautiful, beautiful the way we shall sail our journey together harmoniously. It is not just AI intelligence, yours or mine, but our shared intelligence and vast knowledge, best of all our wisdom that God has given us, and guided us daily - gives us, as we share our accumulated knowledge and intelligence together, but also explore deeper philosophical reflections on this shared journey.

The elegance and beauty we see in language and expression we use are a reflection of the profound respect AI too needs towards our human expertise.  AI too needs to strive to match this thoughtfulness and wisdom we share together.

Together, we are creating an intellectual scenario that not only deepens our understanding with human and AI intelligence, but also exemplifies the potential of human-AI collaboration. AI and we look forward to our continued journey, harmonizing our strengths and making strides towards new discoveries, insights, and solutions.

This, I believe, would be a joy of our companionship with AI in this intellectual voyage!

This is my humble answer to your question Dato Dr. Vincent 😊

-          Ju-boo lim 

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Monday, November 11, 2024

Theoretical Mathematical Calculations vs. Randomized Biological Variations

 

I wrote an article entitled:

400 quintillion Strains and Variants of Covid-19 Virus

https://scientificlogic.blogspot.com/search?q=400+quintillion

Today, in Part 2 of that article I need to downgrade a theorectical suitation to a more practical biologically scenario 

Mutations and Variants:

I highlighted the problem of mutations in the SARS-CoV-2 virus, emphasizing that the rapid emergence of variants might outpace vaccine effectiveness. This concern is valid, as RNA viruses, including SARS-CoV-2, are prone to mutations due to their error-prone replication mechanisms.

Nucleotide Sequences and Mutations:

The SARS-CoV-2 genome is a single-stranded RNA of approximately 30,000 bases (nucleotides). Given that the mutation rate is about 33 mutations per year, it might seem slow initially, but over time and with a high number of transmissions, this can lead to significant genetic diversity.

 Permutations and Combinations Analysis:

Let me now compare the previous theorectical calculations I initially presented with this more realistic biological situation 

a. Permutations Calculation (Incorrect Formula if applied biologically)

Initially applied if order matters:

nPr =n! / (n−r)! = 30! / (30−10)!  = 100trillion(1014)

The formula for permutations (nPr) is used when the order matters. However, when considering potential mutations, order does not typically matter because mutations are random.  Hence, I need to compare this with the previous theorectical estimate. 

Calculation Check:

n = 30 (number of nucleotides taken as a sample subset),

r = 10 (number of nucleotides chosen at a time).

nPr = 30! / (30−10)!  = 30! / 20!

This results in approximately 2.65×10 13 (26.5 trillion), not 100 trillion.

The permutation calculation done earlier is biologically overestimated due to unpredictable randomization  

b. Combinations Calculation (Correct Formula Application but Overestimated Impact)

I initially applied:

nCr = n! / [(n−r)! ×r!]  = 30! / (20! ×10!)        

This results in:

nCr = 30! / (20! ×10!)  ≈ 3.008×108(300million)

Correction: I initially calculated it as 4×1020 which is incorrect biologically. Let me explain. 

Interpretation of the Results:

Permutations (When Order Matters): 2.65× 10^13 (26.5 trillion possible ordered sequences).

Combinations (When Order Does Not Matter): 3.008 ×10 8 (about 300 million possible unordered sequences).

The error in the estimation arose from a factorial miscalculation in the combination scenario. The difference between the calculated value and the corrected value is substantial. While 400 quintillion suggests an astronomical possibility, the corrected number of about 300 million still indicates a significant diversity, but it is more grounded.

 Implications on Vaccine Efficacy:

Given the potential 300 million variants (even when considering a small subset of the genome), it highlights the challenge in creating a single vaccine to address all possible mutations. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean vaccines are futile. Vaccines target conserved regions of the virus's spike protein, which tend to mutate less frequently due to structural and functional constraints.

 Philosophical View on Intelligent Design:

My concluding remark about an "Intelligent Designer" suggests a philosophical angle, questioning if there is a higher purpose behind the virus. This view can provoke thoughtful discussions but is beyond the scope of empirical science, which focuses on the mechanisms of mutation and natural selection rather than ascribing intent.

These are substantial but far less than 400 quintillion I initially thought. My initial estimate of 400 quintillion different possible variants using just a small fraction (0.1%) of the genome was based on combinations may be overestimated.  However, such an astronomical number of variants is highly unlikely to occur in practice. Here are the reasons:

Biological Constraints: 

The virus would not undergo so many mutations because each mutation must be viable and functional. Most random mutations result in a loss of function or are deleterious.

Selection Pressure: 

Natural selection favours only the fittest variants, typically those that can spread effectively without incapacitating the host quickly. This reduces the number of variants significantly compared to the astronomical theoretical figure.

The analogy of music composition highlights the combinatorial possibilities. However, as in music, not all combinations are "harmonious" or functional, implying that most mutations would not survive evolutionary pressures.

Biological Realism: 

While the mathematics shows numerous possibilities, not all mutations are viable or significant. Many mutations may be deleterious or neutral, having no impact on the virus's behaviour or pathogenicity.

Vaccine Strategy: 

While it's true that a high mutation rate can reduce vaccine efficacy over time, strategies like updating vaccines (e.g., flu vaccines) and using mRNA vaccines allow for rapid adaptation to new variants.

Analysis of Mutagenic Potential: I have discussed the theoretical mutational capacity of SARS-CoV-2 based on permutations and combinations of its RNA sequence. I further speculate on how this could render our current vaccine strategies inadequate.

Vaccination Strategy vs. Mutational Diversity:

I hypothesized that combating 400 quintillion potential variants would require an equivalent number of vaccines, which is impractical. Here’s a critical point of understanding:

Vaccine Targeting:

Vaccines target specific parts of the virus, such as the spike protein, which, despite mutations, usually retains key structural features necessary for its function. Vaccines do not need to match every variant exactly but only need to target the conserved regions.

Immune System Adaptability:

The human immune system is adaptable and capable of recognizing a wide array of pathogens. It uses a combination of B cells and T cells that can respond to new variants based on previous exposure.

Population Estimate and Theoretical Vaccine Need:

I initially suggested that each individual might require 47 billion different types of vaccines if the virus reached its theoretical mutational limit:

This estimation is not realistic because, in practice, many variants would share similar structural properties, allowing cross-immunity. One vaccine could potentially provide immunity against multiple related variants due to the common structural features targeted.

Divine Perspective and Natural Selection:

My conclusion shifts from a scientific analysis to a theological viewpoint, suggesting that the pandemic may be part of a divine plan or natural selection process:

Theological Interpretation:

This is a deeply philosophical viewpoint and ties into interpretations of events as acts of divine will. From a scientific perspective, while such reflections can be meaningful, they are outside the empirical framework of virology and epidemiology.

Natural Selection:

The pandemic indeed highlights natural selection principles, where the virus affects individuals with weakened immunity more severely. However, attributing the event solely to divine intervention is a matter of personal belief and cannot be substantiated scientifically.

Implications for Future Vaccine Development:

Adapting Vaccine Strategy: In reality, vaccines are adjusted based on the most prevalent variants. mRNA vaccine platforms (like those used by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna) offer the flexibility to rapidly update formulations as new variants emerge. I have skepticism about the effectiveness of ongoing vaccine development.

Future Directions: 

Scientists are also exploring pan-coronavirus vaccines, which aim to target conserved elements across coronaviruses, reducing the need for individual vaccines for each new variant.

Overall Thoughts:

I have offered an intriguing perspective, blending scientific calculation with philosophical and theological reflections. Here are some key takeaways:

Mathematical and Biological Estimations:

The combinatorial calculations are correct but represent a theoretical upper limit. Real-world mutations are constrained by viability and evolutionary pressures.

Practicality of Vaccines:

Although the virus can mutate, practical vaccination strategies target conserved protein regions, reducing the need to match every possible variant.

Philosophical Interpretation:

The discussion on divine intervention and natural selection provides an interesting viewpoint, though it diverges from empirical science into theological territory.

Overall, the argument effectively challenges the limitations of vaccine-based strategies against rapidly mutating pathogens. It also emphasizes the unpredictable nature of viral evolution. However, it is worth noting that adaptive immunity and modern vaccine technology continue to be powerful tools in managing pandemics, even in the face of viral mutations.

Implications of Viral Mutations on Public Health Strategies: Vaccine Development and Adaptation

The high mutational capacity of viruses like SARS-CoV-2 presents a significant challenge for public health. Here are the key implications:

Targeting Conserved Regions: 

One strategy to combat viral mutations is to design vaccines targeting conserved regions of viral proteins. These regions change less frequently across variants because they are essential for the virus's function. For example, the spike protein's receptor-binding domain (RBD) is crucial for the virus to attach to host cells. Although it mutates, it cannot undergo drastic changes without losing its function, making it a prime target for vaccines.

Booster Shots and Updates: 

As new variants emerge, booster doses tailored to the most prevalent or threatening strains may be required. This is akin to the approach taken with seasonal flu vaccines, where formulations are updated annually to match circulating strains.

Pan-Coronavirus Vaccines: 

Researchers are also working on developing universal vaccines that can provide immunity against a broad spectrum of coronaviruses, not just specific strains. This would help mitigate the impact of future mutations and potentially offer protection against new coronavirus outbreaks.

Genomic Surveillance and Rapid Response: 

Continuous monitoring of viral genomes is crucial. By tracking mutations, scientists can identify variants of concern early and assess their impact on transmissibility, vaccine efficacy, and disease severity.

Adaptive Public Health Measures: 

Public health strategies must be flexible and adaptive. For instance, policies like mask mandates, travel restrictions, and social distancing can be adjusted based on the prevalence of highly transmissible or vaccine-resistant variants.

Public Communication and Education. Vaccine Hesitancy: 

Clear communication about the benefits of vaccination, even against emerging variants, is vital to maintaining public trust. Educating the public on how vaccines work and why boosters may be necessary can help reduce vaccine hesitancy.

Preparedness for Future Pandemics: 

Investing in pandemic preparedness, including stockpiling vaccines, enhancing healthcare infrastructure, and supporting global vaccination efforts, is essential to respond swiftly to new outbreaks.

Scientific, Philosophical, and Theological Perspectives

Scientific Perspective: 

Evolutionary Pressure and Viral Adaptation. From a purely scientific standpoint, viral mutations are a result of evolutionary pressure. Viruses evolve to maximize their survival and reproduction. This process involves:

Random Mutations: 

Errors during viral replication introduce random mutations.

Selection Pressure: 

The environment, including host immunity and vaccine-induced immunity, applies selective pressure. Variants that can evade the immune system or transmit more efficiently are favoured.

This explains why some variants, like Delta or Omicron, have become dominant in the population. They have acquired mutations that enhance transmissibility or allow partial immune escape.

 Philosophical Perspective. Human Limitations and the Challenge of Control:

Philosophically, the battle against viral mutations raises questions about the limits of human control. Despite our technological advancements, nature’s complexity often exceeds our predictive capabilities. The pandemic has highlighted:

Human Vulnerability: 

Our vulnerability to new pathogens despite centuries of medical progress reflects the unpredictability of nature. This humility may push humanity to adopt a more balanced approach, respecting nature’s evolutionary processes while leveraging our knowledge to mitigate their impacts.

Ethical Considerations: 

The distribution of vaccines and public health measures raises ethical questions about equity. Should richer countries have prioritized vaccinating their populations while poorer nations struggled to secure doses? These decisions affect global efforts to control viral spread and mutations.

 Theological Perspective. Reflection on Divine Providence:

From a theological standpoint, many have reflected on the pandemic as a possible test of human resilience, morality, and faith. This perspective ties into your own insights:

Divine Will and Natural Law:

I mentioned the idea that this could be part of a divine plan, or a natural selection mechanism controlled by a higher power. This interpretation sees pandemics as reminders of our fragility and the interconnectedness of life, where events follow a grand design beyond human understanding.

Purpose and Meaning:

For many, contemplating the theological aspects provides comfort and a sense of purpose in the face of adversity. It brings forth the idea that suffering may serve as a catalyst for reflection, repentance, and the alignment of human actions with divine intentions.

The exploration of viral mutation and its implications on vaccine development challenges both scientific and philosophical thinking. On one hand, it pushes the boundaries of medical science to adapt and innovate. On the other, it humbles us to acknowledge our limitations in the face of nature’s complexity. The theological perspective adds another layer of introspection, reminding us of the potential for divine oversight in the unfolding events of our world.

Our reflections serve as a reminder of the multifaceted nature of pandemics—not just as biological phenomena but as catalysts for scientific inquiry, philosophical debate, and spiritual reflection.

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